A recent publication by the Joint Research Centre (JRC), the European Commission’s science and knowledge service, aims to provide evidence-based scientific support to the future of migration patterns from and within Africa and to explore the main driving factors that impede or further migration flows. Building on those findings and data from the OECD, Gallup, the UN Population and the World Bank this paper use macro-econometric analyses to develop three forecast scenarios up to 2050.

For over a decade the EU has shown interest in mitigating climate-related security risks, but this has hardly translated into effective policies. In this policy brief, the cases of Iraq and Mali illustrate how EU missions, policies and related financial instruments could be adjusted to take due account of the climate-security nexus.

PSI consortium partner CCS just released a new report and briefers that address the various ways that climate change effects, nuclear trends, and security challenges are combining around the world. Where nuclear and climate issues are combining in specific countries with other issues such as terrorism, nation-state competition, weak institutions, and mass movement of people, the international community must understand how this nexus of challenges could affect stability and security.

The German Federal Foreign Office and adelphi co-organize a side event on 17 July 2018 at the High-Level Political Forum 2018, taking place in the German Permanent Mission in New York. The event titled “Global Resilience Agenda: A Foreign Policy Perspective on the SDGs” seeks to deepen the understanding of the SDGs and geopolitics and the particularities of each region.

At the Planetary Security Conference (PSC) of 2017, holds under the theme of moving from analysis to action, Louise Van Schaik, PSC Project Lead & Senior research fellow at the Clingendael Institute, addresses the practical challenges of the nexus of climate, migration and security for future policies. What does climate change mean for migration and security in fragile areas of the world? How could those factors further impact on Europe?

The African Union (AU) dedicated the 774th meeting of its Peace and Security Council (PSC) on 21 May 2018, to an open session on “The link Between Climate Change and Conflicts in Africa and Addressing the Security Implications”. The Council highlighted the linkage between climate change and peace and security in Africa and that climate change is a threat to global peace and security.

In order to force greater commitment to the EU’s 2030 emission targets, ten families from inside and outside Europe initiated a people’s Climate Case. Beyond judicial, political and economic implications this case considerably demonstrates the planetary character of climate change consequences – seeing families from places as different as Fiji, France, Germany or Kenia alike facing similar kind of related challenges.

In a historic vote adopted unanimously on the 24 May 2018, the UN Security Council recognized for the first time that armed conflict and violence are closely linked to food insecurity and the risk of famine currently threatening millions of people.

By 2050, the UN estimates that 70 percent of the global population will be living in urban areas. Therefore, understanding and anticipating the ability of cities to manage and avoid the negative effects of climate-related changes and events is of utmost importance. This paper presents a conceptual framework to quantify the climate resilience of cities to guide policymakers and community leaders in identifying challenges and opportunities.

A new publication by the UK-based Grantham Institute unravels the scientific contestation regarding the (causal) relationship between climate change and conflict. It points to the divergence among the natural and social sciences and across different sectors, which results in highly fragmented and contested evidence linking climate change, low carbon transition and conflicts.