11 July 2023

Scientific Evidence Supports UN Security Council Engagement with Climate Change

Sixteen years after the first United Brief Points Nations Security Council debate on climate change and security, there is still no agreement on how the Council should engage with the issue. A major reason for the stalemate is enduring claims by a minority of Council members that there is little scientific foundation for connecting climate change with security concerns. Countering this view, we show that the scientific literature offers ample evidence that climate change can constitute a real threat to international peace and security.

10 July 2023

Improving the Prospects for Peace in South Sudan

South Sudan is home to one of the world’s worst hunger crises. Approximately 8.3 million people, or over 70 per cent of the population, face severe food insecurity. This food insecurity is an outcome of multiple compounding factors but violent conflict is a primary driver. Violent conflict has ravaged South Sudan since its independence from Sudan in 2011. A civil war was fought in 2013–2018, mainly along ethnic lines but driven by a desire to control the country’s oil wealth.

10 July 2023

Climate Change & Environment Nexus Brief: Biodiversity and Sustainable Development

Introduction

03 July 2023

Ethiopia’s worst drought in over 40 years: re-emerging risks to conflict

Ethiopia is in the midst of one of its most severe droughts in the last forty years. Soaring temperatures, coupled with six consecutive seasons of failed rains, have given rise to extreme drought conditions, with the situation worsening over the last few months.

30 June 2023

A Tale of Two Dams: Mega Projects and Water Cooperation in Central Asia

Central Asia faces acute water shortages. In order to address these more effectively water sharing arrangements that are based on the Soviet era agreements need to incorporate the impacts of climate change and changing water politics in Afghanistan, which could further exacerbate existing tensions in the region.

29 June 2023

New EU strategy on climate and security

This week, the EU adopted a new strategy laying out how the EU will address the growing impact of climate change and environmental degradation in the fields of peace, security, and defence. The document, which is officially called a Joint Communication was adopted by the EU executive arm and diplomatic service, the European Commission and European External Action Service.

29 June 2023

Context matters: A review of the evidence of how social, economic, and other variables influence the relationship between climate and security

The effects of climate change play out very differently in various contexts. Depending on the prevailing social, economic, and political conditions, as well as other key influential factors, some places and communities are more or less likely to see their security and living conditions severely affected by adverse climatic conditions.

29 June 2023

The Geopolitics of Climate Change: China and the United States at the UN Security Council

On 13 June, the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) held a ministerial-level open debate on climate change, peace and security—the latest in a series of UNSC meetings on the topic. While many ministerial statements focused on the nexus of climate change, instability, and conflict, the conversation underscored how today’s competitive geop

29 June 2023

Three Steps to Including Conflict Considerations in the Design of Climate Change Adaptation Projects

Research in 2020 found that 12 out of the 20 countries most vulnerable to climate change were also affected by conflict.

28 June 2023

REPower Security: Rethinking European energy relations in times of crisis

The energy crisis has sparked a rethink of how Europe defines and prioritises its energy security. The strategic importance of energy and its interconnected nature at physical, political and trade levels makes the interaction between energy security, security and foreign policy inevitable. Russia using energy as a weapon and the repositioning of Europe in a world of great power competition, where climate impacts increasingly hit, has changed energy interests and how they relate to security.